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Bahrain

B

The Kingdom of Bahrain, is an island country situated on the Persian Gulf, and comprises a small archipelago made up of 50 natural islands and an additional 33 artificial islands, centered on Bahrain Island which makes up around 83 per cent of the country’s landmass. Bahrain is situated between Qatar and the northeastern coast of Saudi Arabia, to which it is connected by the King Fahd Causeway.

Maps & Flag

Hard to see on this scale, but, the island Kingdom of Bahrain sits in the Arabian (Persian) Gulf.
Hard to see on this scale, but, the island Kingdom of Bahrain sits in the Arabian (or, if your prefer, “Persian”) Gulf.

Introduction

Of the Bahrain’s 1.58 million population in 2024, 727,000 were Bahraini nationals (less than half; some 46 per cent). According to the EIU’s Democracy Index, Bahrain’s ranking is 139th (from 167 economies) and thus Bahrain is placed within the “authoritarian” regime category. [1]   

Despite Bahrain’s limited oil wealth, Bahrain has one of the most diversified economies in the Arabian Gulf, led by construction and manufacturing activities, and robust services sector. Efforts are underway to address labour market frictions and this is underscored by the National Labour Market Plan (approved in 2023) that seeks to encourage employment in the private sector and reducing public sector fiscal pressures. As the World Bank (2024a) summarise:

Diversification efforts are well underway, with a robust performance of the non-hydrocarbon sector. Sustained fiscal reforms have helped improving fiscal and current account balances in 2024, yet Bahrain continues to face fiscal challenges, notably the elevated debt levels and gross financing needs. Under current commodity price projections, additional consolidation measures are needed to ensure a sustainable fiscal position over the medium term. Downside risks to the outlook include oil market volatility, climate change risks, and the impact of heightened geopolitical tensions.

The non-oil sector remains the driving force of the economy (World Bank, 2024a). The four year (2023–2026) government plan prioritises several objectives that aim to raise standards of living, improve infrastructure, and accelerate digital transformation, among others. On the fiscal side, efforts under the Fiscal Balance Program have focused on revenue mobilisation, in addition to controlling government spending. Key reforms include the doubling of VAT rate to 10 per cent in 2022, and most recently the adoption in September 2024 of the domestic minimum top-up tax (DMTT) to levy a minimum 15 per cent rate of tax on the profits of multinational enterprises with global revenue exceeding £660 million (US$828 mn); that came into being on January the 1st, 2025. The World Bank (2024a) state that the new law marks a significant milestone, with Bahrain being the first GCC country to legislate the implementation of a DMTT in line with its commitment to the OECD/G20’s Inclusive Framework on Taxation.

Political-Economy

According to the Economist Intelligence Unit (2023) “Bahrain remains firmly in the “authoritarian” regime category, like all the other Gulf Arab states and most of the countries in the Middle East. Bahrain ostensibly introduced an element of democracy in 2002, when the king, Hamad bin Isa al-Khalifa, amended the constitution and established a partly elected legislature. However, the power of the 40 elected members of parliament is largely offset by an upper house of 40 MPs who are appointed directly by the king every four years, and the executive branch of government is wholly unelected. The Shia opposition boycotted the parliamentary election held in November 2014 in response to the government’s harsh handling of protests. The most recent election, in November 2022, resulted, yet again, in a lower house dominated by independents without party affiliation. The fact that two major political parties, al-Wefaq and Waad, were ordered to disband by the judiciary in 2016 and 2017, and that former members of those parties remain barred for life from the political process, means that there is no likelihood that the next election, in 2026, will be freely conducted.”

Freedom House (2024) states that “Bahrain’s Sunni-led monarchy dominates state institutions, and elections for the lower house of parliament are neither competitive nor inclusive. Since violently crushing a popular prodemocracy protest movement in 2011, the authorities have systematically eliminated a broad range of political rights and civil liberties, dismantled the political opposition, and cracked down on persistent dissent concentrated among the Shiite population.”

According to Human Rights Watch (2024), “The Bahraini government has effectively silenced political opposition in the country through political isolation laws that effectively barred members of the political opposition from running in the 2022 parliamentary elections. Independent media has been banned since 2017. Authorities have arrested, prosecuted, and harassed rights defenders, journalists, and opposition leaders, including for their social media activity. Bahrain continues to deny access to independent rights monitors and the UN special rapporteur on torture.”

Graphs & Tables

What follows are a selection of graphs and tables from credible and cited sources. It is worth comparing Bahrain’s (see below) with those of the other Arabian Gulf countries.

What follows is Reporters Without Boarders, Reporters sans frontières (RSF), verdict on the state of media in Bahrain,”ruled with an iron fist by the royal family, Bahrain is notorious for imprisoning many journalists” (2024). According to RSF, Bahrain’s last independent media outlet, the newspaper Al Wasat, was shut down in 2017. The country now only has TV channels and radio stations that are controlled by the Ministry of Information Affairs. There are six national dailies (four in Arabic and two in English) that are semi-governmental and owned by a member of the ruling royal family. RSF state that, “freedom of expression does not exist in Bahrain [and] the situation worsened during the 2011 pro-democracy protests [and] several Bahraini journalists who have criticised the government on the internet from abroad have been accused of “cybercrimes.”

RSF contend that it is the right of every human being to “have access to free and reliable information.” The Press Freedom Index, use five contextual indicators for each economy assessed: political context, legal framework, economic context, sociocultural context and safety (whereby a subsidiary score ranging from 0 to 100 is calculated for each indicator):

Press freedom in Bahrain

Bahrain, 2023 and 2024

Bertelsmann Stiftung’s Transformation Index analyses the transformation processes toward democracy in transitional economies across the globe. In 2024 it was stated that throughout MENA, “autocratic rule festers” and that MENA’s scores for democracy and the quality of governance are at “all-time lows” and that “the quality of governance is deteriorating, and military forces are gaining power.” The German Non-governmental organisation adds that many countries within this region on “flashy imagery and marketing under the banner of modernisation, rather than making actual progress (BTI, 2024).

Bahrain’s 2024 BTI scores

“It remains unlikely that the reformist wing of Bahrain’s regime will initiate any significant political liberalisation similar to the early 2000s anytime soon.”
Expand Chart  

Bahrain’s 2024 BTI matrix:

BTI transformation matrix (2024). Expand Chart  

Bahrain’s 2022 BTI matrix:

BTI transformation matrix (2022). Expand chart  

Bahrain’s 2020 BTI matrix:

BTI transformation matrix (2020). Expand chart  

Bahrain’s 2018 BTI matrix:

BTI transformation matrix (2018). Expand chart  

Fraser Institute rankings

The Fraser Institute’s Human Freedom Index presents a broad measure of human freedom, understood as the absence of coercive constraint.

Bahrain, Human Freedom Index, 2024 scores

Expand Chart  

Freedom House rankings

Freedom House point out that their Freedom in the World annual rankings are “the most widely read and cited report of its kind, tracking global trends in political rights and civil liberties for over 50 years.” They chart Global Freedom scores and Internet Freedom scores for some 210 countries and territories. More latterly, Freedom House have begun to chart Internet Freedom scores (currently 70 countries are tracked, of which three are in the Arabian Gulf: Bahrain, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates).

Bahrain, Freedom in the World, 2024 scores

 


notes

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Country profile information is compiled from, amongst others, the following sources; a full References list for this page is also given below:

Academic

Cambridge University Press  

Elsevier      JSTOR  

Intellect Discover  

Oxford Academic  

Routledge  

Sage  

Springer  

Media outlets

The Economist Intelligence Unit  

Financial Times  

Middle East Economic Digest  

Organisations

Arab Monetary Fund  

Bertelsmann Transformation Index  

Energy Information Agency  

Energy Institute  

Eurostat  

Fraser Institute  

Freedom House  

International Energy Agency  

International Monetary Fund  

Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries  

Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development  

Reporters sans frontières  

United Nations Development Program  

Varieties of Democracy  

The World Bank  

World Economic Forum  

World Intellectual Property Organisation  

World Trade Organisation  

References

Back

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The Six GCC Economies:

Country Profiles: Bahrain Country Profiles: Kuwait Country Profiles: Oman Country Profiles: Qatar Country Profiles: Saudi Arabia Country Profiles: United Arab Emirates

i This is the website of Dr Emilie J. Rutledge who, with almost two decades’ worth of experience in managing, designing and delivering university-level economics courses, is currently Head of the Economics Department at The Open University.

Emilie has published over 20 peer-reviewed papers and is the author of “Monetary Union in the Gulf.” Her current research focus is on employability, the feasibility of universal basic incomes and, the oil-rich Arabian Gulf’s economic diversification and labour market reform strategies. On an ad hoc basis, Emilie provides consultancy on developing interactive university courses, alongside analytical insight on the political-economy of the Arabian Gulf.

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